RESUMÉ:
2001 MOTOR CARRIER INDUSTRY
Focus on
Security
In future years, when historians reflect on the year 2001, September 11th
will be remembered as a date which profoundly changed the way Americans
performed their routine personal and business activities. Before that date,
commerce was conducted blissfully, with scant regard for security concerns. The
attacks exposed the vulnerability inherent in a free, open society and, as a
result, the nation's commercial activities became increasingly subject to new
security restrictions. The effect of September 11th on the operations and
profitability of many industries will be felt for years to come. Among the
industries most affected are transportation and insurance.
Before the attacks, there were signs that the motor carrier industry had hit
bottom and was beginning a long, slow road to recovery. Freight volume had begun
to climb, interest rates had fallen, and a record number of trucking companies
had ceased operations, resulting in reduced capacity and less competition for
the remaining carriers. To be sure, fuel prices remained high, labor cost had
not decreased, and the cost of truck insurance was steadily increasing.
Many economic indicators fell after the attack, reflecting the changed mood
of the country, which altered consumer buying habits and increased fears about
the depth and length of the recession which is now believed to have begun in
March 2001. Trucking companies faced new, unanticipated burdens and costs of
doing business. Long lines of trucks were common sights at port areas and border
crossings (the American Trucking Associations has calculated that the cost of a
driver sitting behind the wheel of a truck that goes nowhere is $72 an hour).
Increased costs for motor carriers included hiring more security personnel,
installing lighting and electronic fences, and buying upgraded communication
equipment. Hazardous materials haulers faced a dizzying array of new security
requirements.
It is too soon to be able to determine whether all of the components of the
current heightened state of security will become a permanent part of American
life. It is clear, however, that many security related initiatives have been set
in motion by both government and private entities and that America is getting
used to having security concerns intrude upon daily activities. While the added
security measures will undoubtedly have an impact on the bottom line of motor
carriers, of greater importance this year will be the extent of any economic
recovery that occurs. Should the economy resume the robust growth that marked
much of the past decade, the trucking industry will be able to take advantage of
the current low fuel prices and higher unemployment numbers (which mitigates the
driver shortage) in order to shake off its recent malaise. Without a revitalized
economy, excess capacity, a weak used equipment market (which prevents carriers
from selling older and unneeded equipment for profit), and escalating insurance
premiums could result in the demise of many more trucking companies.
The Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration now has its first permanent
administrator. In October, Joseph M. Clapp, former chairman of the trucking
conglomerate Roadway Services, was sworn in to head the agency. He reports to
the new Secretary of Transportation, Norman Y. Mineta, the new administration's
only Democrat cabinet member.
Government
Activity
During 2001, FMCSA had thrust upon it two major issues which were hardly on
its agenda when the year began: NAFTA and security. Early in the year the new
administration indicated that it would seek to reverse the moratorium keeping
Mexican trucks from traveling through the U.S. that had been imposed by
President Clinton. A target date of January 1, 2002 was announced for the border
opening, but House and Senate Appropriations Committees each passed a bill that
would have had the effect of keeping the border closed. However, in December the
White House and Congress reached a compromise that is expected to result in
Mexican truckers being able to haul freight between Mexico and all points within
the U.S. during the second half of this year. The statute signed by President
Bush provides for detailed steps to be taken by the USDOT in order to ascertain
the safety of Mexican carriers, including increased inspections of both vehicles
and drivers, and enhanced border crossing facilities. Mexican truckers must buy
insurance from an "insurance company licensed in the United States";
it is not clear whether this language will be interpreted to include excess and
surplus lines insurers, as well as regularly licensed insurers.
Since September 11th, trucking has been targeted by government officials as
an industry in need of improved security. Several bills to address motor carrier
security have already been enacted, and others are awaiting congressional
action. A bill signed by the President on October 26th, requires truck drivers
who apply for or seek to renew commercial driver license endorsements to haul
hazardous material to undergo background checks including a check of domestic
and international police records and verification of immigration status. FMCSA
has begun to draft regulations needed to implement this new statute. Proposed
legislation would give USDOT inspectors greater authority to search and seize
hazardous materials being shipped. Cargo theft, a crime often ignored by law
enforcement agencies, is receiving new attention in the wake of the attacks. A
bill recently passed by the Senate and awaiting House action seeks to address
port security and cargo theft issues, providing for increased fines and criminal
penalties for cargo theft, increased funding for local, state and federal
multi-jurisdictional task forces and access by motor carrier management to
nationwide criminal background data bases.
If FMCSA gets its way, commercial driver license requirements will be much
more stringent. Early last year it instituted a rulemaking designed to force
states to use a truck driver's own personal driving violations as part of
their issuance, revocation, cancellation or suspension proceedings. Most states
do not currently use this information; a final ruling by the FMCSA is expected
shortly. FMCSA also has plans to add a biometric identifier, such as
fingerprints, to the CDL. It hopes to tighten federal oversight of state CDL
programs and expects to propose that driver medical certifications be linked to
the CDL process. On August 1, 2001, new USDOT drug and alcohol testing rules
designed to deter cheating and to protect the rights of tested workers went into
effect. FMCSA has also begun a rulemaking concerning whether medical review
officers should report positive drug test results for CDL drivers to the state
that issued the license.
Not all the government's attention has been directed to the issues of NAFTA
and security. The U.S. General Accounting office issued a report criticizing
USDOT's oversight of the household goods moving industry. It found that the
number of complaints regarding household goods carriers has doubled since the
demise of the ICC, that USDOT has taken few enforcement actions against these
carriers and that the lack of government action has allowed unscrupulous
carriers to flourish and take advantage of consumers. A subsequent House of
Representatives hearing elicited a FMCSA pledge to devote more resources to
addressing these problems. Also with regard to household goods carriers, the
Surface Transportation Board recently issued a decision granting the request of
household goods carriers to limit the valuation options provided to consumers.
Subject to carrier compliance with the preconditions of the Board, consumers
will be given an option to elect to value goods at either 60 cents per lb. or
replacement value. Underwriters should take note that the new options may not
conform to the liability coverage provided, which is often limited to actual
cash value.
The outlook for FMCSA's controversial hours of service proposal continues
to be muddled. Although the congressionally mandated one-year delay in
considering the issue has expired, the new FMCSA leadership has shown little
inclination to move the politically-charged matter to the front burner. Another
controversial issue, the U.S. Department of Labor's proposed ergonomics
regulations, also appears to be delayed indefinitely after Congress voted to
reject new rules issued in the waning days of the Clinton administration.
In 2001, the USDOT announced the start of a two-year study into the causes of
crashes involving large trucks. In another matter, comments were received during
the year on a proposed FMCSA pilot program seeking to train 19 and 20-year olds
to drive heavy trucks. A decision is pending; indications are that most of the
filed comments opposed the proposal.
FMCSA will spend the early part of this year developing regulations to
implement NAFTA and the opening of the border - until they are issued in final
form, the border remains closed. It is expected that during the year FMCSA will
finally get around to its long-delayed Unified Carrier Registration rule-making.
While the immediate impetus is the necessity of providing for the registration
of Mexican carriers, the proposed rules, when they are eventually issued, are
expected to cover such matters as the ending of the registration of trucking
companies as common carriers or contact carriers, the elimination of
"docket" ("MC") numbers in favor of the "USDOT"
numbers, the continuation of the cargo insurance requirement with perhaps its
expansion to all for-hire motor carriers, and the termination of the Single
State Registration System. By the end of this year, FMCSA should have completed
its initial updating of the descriptive motor carrier information contained in
its SAFER database. Its Form MCS-150 will then have been mailed to all truckers;
in the future, these carriers will be required to re-file this form every two
years. However, the number of FMCSA's safety compliance reviews, from which
SAFER's safety ratings are derived, have been substantially reduced as
inspectors have been instructed to spend much of their time on briefing
hazardous materials haulers concerning security concerns.
The Motor Carrier Industry
Trucking industry executives are facing the onset of 2002 with a pronounced
lack of optimism. As they struggle to contain increasingly higher costs of doing
business in the face of the current recession, there are very few signs that
things will soon be getting better. Manufacturing output, a key indicator of
future tonnage levels, was down substantially even before September 11th and has
declined even further since the attack. Access to capital has been severely
restricted; a number of initial public offerings were either withdrawn or
delayed due to the state of the stock market, and lenders, having been burned by
the large number of equipment repossessions and declining asset values, are not
willing to relax their stringent loan requirement. There was a startling rise in
trucking bankruptcies during 2001, but even with so many companies going out of
business, there is still over-capacity in the industry. All indications are that
further contraction will occur in 2002.
The very low fuel prices that first appeared in the fourth quarter of last
year have not served to rekindle trucking executives' hopes. They are aware
that, historically, conflict in the Middle East has ultimately resulted in
decreased petroleum production and higher prices. The only other bright spot,
the easing of the driver shortage due to industry contraction and a higher
national unemployment rate, is also thought to be temporary in nature. Trucking
management is very concerned as to what they perceive as a fundamental shift in
the insurance market. The cost of truck (and health) insurance has been on the
rise for almost two years, after a decade and a half of relatively low insurance
prices. Furthermore, where in the past there were numerous insurers offering
truck insurance, motor carriers now find significantly fewer companies willing
to even provide quotes. In the uncharted waters following September 11th,
truckers fear that the cost of insurance during the next several years might
well become prohibitive. Indeed, the ATA has sent a letter to all 50 state
insurance commissions asking that they "closely monitor rate increases in
trucking liability insurance" in order to prevent "outrageous
insurance premiums."
The economic slump has hit truckload carriers especially hard, with less
freight available to fill the trucks. But less-than-truckload carriers, expected
to benefit from the inability of shippers to command full truckloads, have also
experienced decreases in tonnage, revenue and profits. There were a number of
significant mergers and acquisitions during 2001 in both the TL and LTL sectors,
including one that created the nation's largest publicly held truckload
carrier. Bankruptcies of large trucking companies increased dramatically while
other unprofitable, but solvent, carriers decided to simply cease operations and
liquidate.
The Teamsters reelected James P. "Jimmy" Hoffa to a five-year term.
He will face a number of pressing issues as new contracts are negotiated. The
ATA went through an unusual leadership change. After its president Walter B.
McCormick, Jr. announced he was departing, William Canary was appointed interim
president. For its permanent president it finally selected Kansas governor Bill
Graves, who will not be able to assume the presidency until his term expires in
January 2003. Until then Mr. Canary will be its president, losing the
"interim" prefix in his title.
Insurance
Underwriting
In the aftermath of the most costly disaster in U.S. history in terms of
insured losses, the insurance industry is endeavoring to insulate itself against
future terrorist attacks and take advantage of the opportunities which the
dramatically changed marketplace now offers. Having been hit with a manmade
mega-catastrophe at a time when a hardening market had not yet been reflected in
their bottom lines, industry executives are trying to adjust to the new
landscape. Almost immediately, terrorism exclusions appeared on almost every
reinsurance treaty negotiated after September 11th, and on many facultative
policies. In turn, primary insurers began to file new policy forms with
terrorism exclusions with state insurance regulators. The National Association
of Insurance Commissioners recommended an exclusion for losses of more than $25
million, and this has been adopted by at least 36 states, although it has been
rejected by New York. On non-filed classes of business, individual insurance
companies began to add exclusions for terrorism to their policies. And in
Washington, with insurance organizations pressing for a federal backup in the
event of another mammoth terrorist attack, Congress adjourned without taking
action.
January 1 is the date when the bulk of reinsurance (and many commercial
insurance) contracts expire. With primary insurers uncomfortable writing
coverage for terrorism exposures without firm reinsurance commitments, the onus
was put on state insurance departments to take some action on insurer requests
to exclude terrorism. The uncertainty as to the availability of policies
covering all contingencies was threatening to many industries, including
builders and lenders, and the potential impact on the economy could be severe.
Truck insurers had been systematically raising rates before September 11th,
trying to turn what had generally been unprofitable coverages into more
profitable ones. There had been a decline in the number of insurers seeking to
write motor carriers, a situation which was exacerbated by the attacks. Aware of
the difficulty in replacing existing reinsurers and facing a steep rise in the
cost of reinsurance, when obtainable, many trucking programs that were heavily
dependent upon captive or reinsurance support faced their program renewal dates
with trepidation.
Conversations with cargo insurers disclosed that a higher percentage of them
are now operating profitably. This is obviously due, in part, to rate increases,
but also to higher deductibles, more exclusions and warranties, and greater
selectivity. It is expected that they will be able to take further rate
increases during the year. Many b.i. and p.d. underwriters report results are
nearing profitability, with significant growth in written premiums and new
business. The reduction in the number of truck insurers has left the remaining
ones in an enviable position; submissions are pouring in and there is little to
restrain them from raising rates even more. The tight market has resulted in
residual market servicing carriers experiencing a large increase in applications
from trucking companies; should the market continue to tighten, a further surge
of truckers into the involuntary market can be expected.
With the NAFTA border opening due to occur later this year, insurers are
concerned as to the lack of progress in reconciling the insurance and trade
issues that divide the two countries. There is a dearth of information regarding
Mexican drivers' licensing, accident and violation records. Also lacking are
vehicle maintenance records, and financial and operating data for the trucking
companies themselves. Responsibility for cargo, limitations of liability and
claims adjustment procedures are also at issue. There have been meetings of
insurance and government officials, but with harmonization the goal, much work
remains to be done.
Central
Analysis Bureau
We at CAB will long remember the horrific events that unfolded on September
11th. Being located in New York City, and with so many insurance industry
members among the victims, the awful reality intruded upon us quite deeply. We
extend our most heartfelt sympathy to all of the victims and their grieving
families and loved ones.
Once again, the USDOT's FMCSA failed to make any progress on the backlog of
unfinished rulemakings that it inherited from the Federal Highway
Administration. The two-year old agency, under new leadership, has pledged to
rectify the situation as soon as possible and it appears likely that a number of
their actions this year will have a direct impact on motor carrier insurers. One
of the functions of our website, cabfinancial.com, is to keep insurance
underwriters abreast of new government rulings. We invite you to regularly visit
the "Bits & Pieces" column appearing on the website; it contains
news items of interest to truck insurers and is updated regularly. You can also
download the entire text of important USDOT rulemakings and decisions from this
website.
We are proud to have enrolled many new subscribers during the past year. This
is especially true of those underwriters whose responsibilities include physical
damage, workers compensation, umbrella and excess coverages. CAB motor carrier
information is as important to them as to auto liability and motor truck cargo
underwriters. This past year, many more motor carriers filed annual financial
reports with USDOT's Bureau of Transportation Statistics. As BTS improves its
internal procedures and enhances its ability to identify non-reporting trucking
companies, information on thousands of additional motor carriers will become
available. FMCSA's "SafeStat" database has now amassed sufficient
information to be of use to motor carrier underwriters. Our subscribers can
expect to receive SafeStat information on CAB reports starting February 15, 2002
and when making phone inquiries. The "SAFER" data base is also
important to underwriters. Please keep in mind that CAB receives SAFER
information not available on the SAFER website; i.e., the nature of the safety
violations motor carriers incur. We are pleased to be able to pass this
information on to our subscribers. Also, we now automatically alert our
subscribers whenever the FMCSA issues an "out of service" order for an
insured, presumably closing it down. These orders are issued due to an
"unsatisfactory' safety rating that has not been corrected, failure to
pay a fine within 90 days or "imminent hazard".
We expect to be able to offer registered "automatic" subscribers
access to CAB ratings and other information through our website during 2002. Our
goal is to beta-test this during the second quarter and to go live July 1.
In order that we can immediately advise underwriters concerning important
government and industry development we intend to make greater use of e-mail in
the years ahead. If you would like to receive these bulletins, we suggest that
you e-mail us at or mail us your business card containing your e-mail address.
We also hope that you will advise us of news concerning internal company events.
During the coming year, Andy Schindel is planning on cutting back his workload.
Jean Gardner has agreed to take over some of his responsibilities and she can be
reached at extension 215.
Our affiliate, Transportation Technical Services, Inc., is America's
foremost publisher of transportation directories. The 16th edition of
its flagship National Motor Carrier Directory, containing essential
information on almost 24,000 for-hire carriers, has just been published. Among
its other directories are The Private Fleet Directory, The Mexican Motor
Carrier Directory and The Canadian Motor Carrier Directory.
Financial and statistical information on over 2,700 large motor carriers can be
found in its "The Blue Book of Trucking Companies" available in
either computer or book format, then can be ordered by phoning (888) ONLY TTS or
by visiting their website at ttstrucks.com. During 2001 TTS launched fleetseek.com,
to provide on-line access to all of their databases. The senior staff of TTS
(and CAB) are recognized transportation experts with many years of experience
and are available for litigation, consulting or other purposes.
The law firm of Schindel, Farman & Lipsius LLP specializes in
transportation and other coverage matters. It has prepared the following pages
concerning recent legal developments and you may wish to share them with your
claims department staff.
The year 2001, along with its terrible events that so deeply affected the
insurance community and the nation, is now behind us. We hope that this year
will bring prosperity, a return to normality and, most of all, peace to our
nation and to our loyal subscribers.
Schindel, Farman & Lipsius LLP's "Recent Developments in
Transportation and Insurance Law"